ok i got my calculations wrong, modest scarf loses in speed to pheromosa and all the+speed 150 tiers..its not much but it does hurt the modest preference
still thinking if it should be modest or timid
What does modest scarf beat that timid scarf can't?
Just did some basic calcs for the things Tapu Lele struggles against:
Timid: 252 SpA Tapu Lele Hidden Power Fire vs. 252 HP / 168 SpD
Ferrothorn: 204-240 (57.9 - 68.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
Modest: 252 HP / 168 SpD
Ferrothorn: 224-264 (63.6 - 75%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
Timid: 252 SpA Tapu Lele Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 140+ SpD
Celesteela: 156-184 (39.1 - 46.2%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
Modest: 252+ SpA Tapu Lele Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 140+ SpD
Celesteela: 170-202 (42.7 - 50.7%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
Timid: 252 SpA Tapu Lele Shadow Ball vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD
Metagross-Mega: 162-192 (53.8 - 63.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
Modest: 252+ SpA Tapu Lele Shadow Ball vs. 0 HP / 0 SpD
Metagross-Mega: 178-210 (59.1 - 69.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
Conversely, timid outspeeds Jolly Pheromosa (obvs a huge threat), Timid Mega Alakazam, Jolly Mega Aerodactyl, +1 Adamant Mega Charizard X, +2 Modest Magearna (not a check regardless), +1 Kommo-o, Scarf Kyurem-Black (outspeeds Adamant, ties with Jolly), +1 Adamant Mega Sharpedo etc