tbh these are my more my thoughts on how each game should go on paper, which is slightly different than a predict? i don't expect these to be 100% accurate after the week ends (i hope they are!), but just want this post have some substance and be an enjoyable read more than anything else (it was fun to write, at least). anyway,
OU: beatiful vs Regnite:
both players are breakouts (at least in CGOU), and both of them have showed decent things. i think bea's showed a higher ceiling, as well as a lot of fearlessness, although maybe a bit too much sometimes; he's got the guts to click and tends to trust them a lot. he had a pretty decent showing in OLT, although I think his snake has overall been a lot better, and seeing as this is snake, i want to judge mostly off that. regnite's played fine, but i haven't been loving his play. like, he's had a few solid moments, but he made some crucial mistakes in his game vs Raiza, as well as his game vs Hantsuki. they're pretty easy to recognize though, and very fixable, so i hope he has a better showing this week. that said, i think this is gonna be decided in the builder more than anything, and if it's a neutral matchup i'd say bea takes it. i'm more often a fan of the teams bea uses than not, and i think the lindworms are a very solid building bunch, so i'm definitely giving him the edge there.
OU: Garay oak vs Ima: garays showcased some solid play, cool ideas, and pretty good execution on them, but he's had one of the toughest schedules this snake. with an easier schedule he'd probably be sporting the same record as ima, and i think he's hungry to prove he's good at CGOU too. ima on the other hand, is en route to the Prophecy, and he's gonna do anything in his power to revel in the 8-3 glory. he's one of the best clickers in the tour, but his clicking status as well as his tendency to bring teams that only close matchup holes by outplaying 20 turns in a row (which he has done before, multiple times i might add) can mean he can lose or win vs anyone. he's always a joy to watch, and i expect him to ramp it up for playoffs. honestly no fucking clue who will have matchup here, but if it's garay, i think think he's gonna have to play better than he's played so far to win. probably my most anticipated game of the 4, looking forward to it.
OU: Jytcampbell vs Sacri': i expect sacri to win, but i do think it's gonna be a closer game than most think, and i definitely think jyt's got a decent shot at winning; his record should be better with neutral luck, and he's played consistently well over the tour. sacri, however, has had a much more skill-affirming tour in my eyes. he's showcased one of the highest ceilings in the tour, and i think he's gonna be motivated to win again. jyt and sacri tend to play very similar styles team-wise, and on an even field, i'd trust sacri to take it. he's more experienced in high-pressure situations, and always confident to make the plays that win (or lose, click click). jyt's most solid shot is in the builder; he needs to switch it up team-wise, and i trust the lindworms to make that happen. sacri does tend to have outs for (almost) anything, and i really really don't think game will ever be won purely on matchup. jyt's gotta prove himself in probs the most important game he's played on smogon so far, and hopefully he does!
OU: Eo Ut Mortus vs Robjr: i think eo's the undisputed top dog of this tour, and i'd bold him vs anyone right now. as far as i'm concerned, he's the best metagamer and builder in the tour, which he backs up with consistently great play. rob's a very good player too, but i do think eo's showed a higher level this tour overall, along with just better building than anyone on the nagas. the magician's tricks will not land here(although i am very excited to see what he has under his sleeve), so rob will probably have to rely on outplaying to win. he can do it, he's showed the level and confidence to upset here, and i think this has been his best CGOU tour to date by a very good amount. regardless, i'll put this game as an eo win, and frankly, he just has more ways to go about winning it. i'm trusting him with an edge in both building and playing, and i see this as the least likely upset.
OU: beatiful vs Regnite:
both players are breakouts (at least in CGOU), and both of them have showed decent things. i think bea's showed a higher ceiling, as well as a lot of fearlessness, although maybe a bit too much sometimes; he's got the guts to click and tends to trust them a lot. he had a pretty decent showing in OLT, although I think his snake has overall been a lot better, and seeing as this is snake, i want to judge mostly off that. regnite's played fine, but i haven't been loving his play. like, he's had a few solid moments, but he made some crucial mistakes in his game vs Raiza, as well as his game vs Hantsuki. they're pretty easy to recognize though, and very fixable, so i hope he has a better showing this week. that said, i think this is gonna be decided in the builder more than anything, and if it's a neutral matchup i'd say bea takes it. i'm more often a fan of the teams bea uses than not, and i think the lindworms are a very solid building bunch, so i'm definitely giving him the edge there.
OU: Garay oak vs Ima: garays showcased some solid play, cool ideas, and pretty good execution on them, but he's had one of the toughest schedules this snake. with an easier schedule he'd probably be sporting the same record as ima, and i think he's hungry to prove he's good at CGOU too. ima on the other hand, is en route to the Prophecy, and he's gonna do anything in his power to revel in the 8-3 glory. he's one of the best clickers in the tour, but his clicking status as well as his tendency to bring teams that only close matchup holes by outplaying 20 turns in a row (which he has done before, multiple times i might add) can mean he can lose or win vs anyone. he's always a joy to watch, and i expect him to ramp it up for playoffs. honestly no fucking clue who will have matchup here, but if it's garay, i think think he's gonna have to play better than he's played so far to win. probably my most anticipated game of the 4, looking forward to it.
OU: Jytcampbell vs Sacri': i expect sacri to win, but i do think it's gonna be a closer game than most think, and i definitely think jyt's got a decent shot at winning; his record should be better with neutral luck, and he's played consistently well over the tour. sacri, however, has had a much more skill-affirming tour in my eyes. he's showcased one of the highest ceilings in the tour, and i think he's gonna be motivated to win again. jyt and sacri tend to play very similar styles team-wise, and on an even field, i'd trust sacri to take it. he's more experienced in high-pressure situations, and always confident to make the plays that win (or lose, click click). jyt's most solid shot is in the builder; he needs to switch it up team-wise, and i trust the lindworms to make that happen. sacri does tend to have outs for (almost) anything, and i really really don't think game will ever be won purely on matchup. jyt's gotta prove himself in probs the most important game he's played on smogon so far, and hopefully he does!
OU: Eo Ut Mortus vs Robjr: i think eo's the undisputed top dog of this tour, and i'd bold him vs anyone right now. as far as i'm concerned, he's the best metagamer and builder in the tour, which he backs up with consistently great play. rob's a very good player too, but i do think eo's showed a higher level this tour overall, along with just better building than anyone on the nagas. the magician's tricks will not land here(although i am very excited to see what he has under his sleeve), so rob will probably have to rely on outplaying to win. he can do it, he's showed the level and confidence to upset here, and i think this has been his best CGOU tour to date by a very good amount. regardless, i'll put this game as an eo win, and frankly, he just has more ways to go about winning it. i'm trusting him with an edge in both building and playing, and i see this as the least likely upset.
lots of friends playing on both sides here, hoping they play a quality series. in the meantime, GO RATTLERS!!!!!!!!!
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