updated the list
hmm is there a serious battle hall theorymon going on (ET & Jump)?
yeah there was, only the hall doesn't operate the way ET and i thought which is so incredibly disappointing. i have an absolute fuckton of notes about my theorymon and i'm going to paste a bit here. it's my fault for being under the impression that after 170, the hall would continue the same way it started, allowing you to challenge one type ten times. however, it was not going to be my fault if i were to lose a battle, with the way i understood the rules. i say that to draw attention to the fact that i've known from the beginning that salamence and garchomp lose to weavile 100% of the time, and therefore using them is a waste of time. well, 99.375% of the time in salamence's case as evidenced by LordCaelus's incredible CH+Burn luck (both of which were 100% needed).
As TRE posted, Swagger is the best chance to do that, at around 42% the time (would be exactly 40.5% but there's a chance IP freezes and Sala/Chomp and get Swagger off), but there are several other pokemon that give Sala and Chomp trouble. Most importantly, it would indeed necessitate an Outrage/EQ/FT/Swagger set, since you no longer have room for Stone Edge, which you actually need if, for example (and there are others) Yanmega has Speed Boost, since Outrage doesn't OHKO and Air Slash has a chance to 2HKO even without Petaya and yanmega will always be faster than Adamant Salamence after a Speed Boost.
But enough typing for now, I would have posted everything I have about the poke I decided on but it's kinda futile now...still may be possible but I have another idea anyway.
With the right set, Tyranitar can beat every type in the Hall. Not just every pokemon, but every type, meaning I was, after over two weeks of theorymon with ET, prepared to run past 200 and 300 and 400. I originally thought of it because it is able to break Weavile's Sash without attacking twice, but Counter is the only reason it even begins to have a chance against Fighters, which would have made the whole exercise moot. But again, it doesn't make too much sense to post "everything" now, since the Hall doesn't work the way I thought it would (read: the right way, lol), so I shouldn't waste any more time explaining a strategy that doesn't apply anymore. I'll just add my thoughts in bold to the stream-of-consciousness notes I took a few weeks ago on how Tyra can beat some of the types then specifically Water types.
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tyranitar can use protect/counter/thunderbolt/EARTH POWER (for luke and blaziken) for all fighters. protect is for infernape and fake out (also hariyama)
for normals, cb sp always kills regigigas 100% min...but CC staraptor makes you have to sash as does zangoose, but seems like an easy 4hp/252atk/252spe adamant superpower/protect/counter/"crunch" (shut up girafarig), have to counter tauros though
ok i think tyrantiar wins, gg counter sash sand
may need a crapload of SpD and chople to beat poliwrath though...or captivate??????
poliwrath is 252Def/252SpA, with Focus Blast and Vacuum Wave. basically *the* counter pokemon to Tyranitar
protect+thunder+protect will kill since thunder does 81.21% min if it hits and you dont have to be slower...oh awesome you only need 4 speed EVs to beat poliwrath because it's Quiet
do i need counter to beat all water and fighting types?
water: protect/thunder/thunderbolt/dark pulse?, only does 28-34% to swampert, where hp grass does 68-82%
if you need thunder to hit to beat poliwrath regardless, why do you need sash when specs thunder ohkos (120% min)?
protect/thunder/thunderbolt/hp grass@expert belt...thiss will beat poliwrath thanks to sand and regardless of level, but what of ludicolo and lanturn?
bleh suicune almost necessitates sash thanks to SpD and mirror coat and goddamn sitrus berry
protect thunder protect thunder has a good chance of beating suicune regardless of hahhaha nevermind idiot suicune good luck mirror coating a dark type
specs may be way to go
however, captivate guarantees you will survive focus blast/vacuum wave from poliwrath (70% max then 27% max)...this means you dont have to use thunder, since protect/captivate/thunderbolt/protect/thunderbolt always beats poli. just hope it doesn't use hypnosis. this also fares well against gd/wp/ib/rd ludi, since
specs TB would kind of suck
feraligatr has a slim chance to beat you if it rain dances so sand doesn't kill it (tb does 78-93% if no ZAP PLATE)
lol make sure you're at least 91 speed so milotic doesnt basically have her way with you
Lv50
ugh empoleon does 76-92% with pump and has AJ which does 21.71-27.43%...only it actually does 66.29-78.86% to 175HP/143SpD, Lv50 vs Lv50. If Lv50 vs Lv46, it does 72.00% max and AJ obviously cant kill. 63.93-75.66%, Lv100 vs Lv100, then 21.11-25.22% with AJ. considering you evidently won't be Lv50 vs Lv50 or Lv100 vs Lv100 till at least after "battle 230"
still debating using Lv50 vs Lv100
so, if Lv100, you need a 252SpA/172SpD/84Spe spread to beat milotic
if, Lv50, you can do a 252SpA/180SpD/76Spe spread
Lv100 seems to ensure you never lose to Empoleon unless it CHes you...and 89.09% chance of 2HKO with TB 100 vs 96, vs 68% chance 100 vs 100...but 50 vs 46 is 100% 2HKO with TB (51.70% min). 50 vs 50 is 79.62% chance of 2HKO
rofl suicune too bad you only do 41.14-49.14% to tyranitar with hydro pump at 50 vs 50, so this goes: protect/pump, pump/tb, protect/pump, pump/tb, protect/pump and you are out. you do 5.14-6.29% with facade (boy i hope these natures are set, otherwise i will have...wasted my time maybe) also if not 50 i pretty much win
so...Protect/Thunderbolt/Captivate/HP Grass
fucking golduck though lol
Cloud Nine
if i use specs, i still beat suicune (still same to chances to CH, still beat empoleon...then i get BBed by floatzel and lose lol...it does 86-102% with BB to 175Hp/130Def...but lmao does 99.71% max with BB 100 vs 100. so if you use specs, you still beat floatzel (waterfall flinches are a non-issue). might be #1 reason to go Lv100.
so, Tyranitar@Specs 341HP/317SpA/279SpD/179Spe, Thunderbolt/HP Grass/
still deciding on moves, i was in the Protect/Captivate frame of mind and did not yet realize what freedom Specs could give me
still beat milotic, which only does 92% max with LO HP (6.25% worse)
58.97% chance of ohkoing poliwrath, Lv100 vs Lv100. 101.95% min, 100 vs 96 so, uh, specs i guess?
incredibly important as i noted above with Wrath's set and EV spread
286 SpD ensures that Cloud Nine Golduck, 100 vs 100, cannot beat you with hydropump unless it CHes...can you spare seven points? or can you live with 7.69% chance it beats with at 279 SpD (really 6.152%)
ok lmao that settles it, poliwrath, 100 vs 100, only does 96.19-113.78 with focus blast. so pretty much only 30% of the time (41.03% chance TB doesn't OHKO, 84% chance he hits, 66.67% chance he ohkoes [according to libelldra, idk how 96-114% is a 2/3 chance but w/e], and 93.75% chance i dont ch [then chance i par and he's fp, we get it, stop typing]) which is actually 21.002% (it's just 97.5% chance i dont ch but par and fp, way to keep typing)...and this is all 100 vs 100 which evidently wont happen till im at like 300 or whatever lol
93.47% min to kingdra with dragon pulse..."ok"
*****
"so"...so, Tyranitar@Choice Specs, 252SpA/172SpD/84Spe, Thunderbolt/HP Grass/Dragon Pulse/Dark Pulse, Modest, Lv100. 341HP/317SpA/279SpD/179Spe Poliwrath/Swampert/Kingdra/Ludicolo
*****
k that was fun, just 16 types left
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and that's where i stopped, theorymonning was really, really fun, but whatever. i'll post more if tyranitar proves to be successful regardless of the hall being disappointing