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Tizio Potente Ao has chosen a new theme! This time, we are building with Defensive Dragonite! Think of a dragonite with no Life orb, choice items, no agility, and preferably, no DD either. It should be running support moves such as heal bell, roost, or twave ect. As usual, the winner of this...

The winner for the Cressilia teambuilding competition, by three votes to two, was Tizio Potente Ao! Congratulations! From Tizio Potente Ao: https://pokepast.es/e4183455b842d91d Since it is an odd numbered competition, the next theme can be any Pokémon from the top 30 of the VR (link)...

Voting has begun for the teambuilding competition featuring Cresselia! This round is contested with a whooping 9 entries vying for the top spot. The teams submitted were: :empoleon: :tyranitar: :rhyperior: :bronzong: :cresselia: :celebi: From Jhall99: https://pokepast.es/b83b0562a3ba1568...

You heard them, DazzlingCream has chosen a new theme! This time, we are building with Cresselia! No other restrictions apply, except that it is an OU team. As usual, the winner of this competition gets to choose the next theme. Submissions are open now, and will close on Saturday the 8th of...

I'm breaking the tie between Jhall99 and DazzlingCream. I couldn't determine which one I liked more, so I ran both on the ladder an equal number of times until one lost while the other won, and the winner secured my vote. Thus, the winner is DazzlingCream! From DazzlingCream...

Voting has begun for the teambuilding competition featuring Choice Specs Heatran! This round is fiercely contested with 7 entries vying for the top spot. The teams submitted were: :heatran: :jirachi: :celebi: :donphan: :blissey: :gyarados: From steve22: https://pokepast.es/94d01473c6768713...

Robertshortgrass has chosen a new theme! We are doing Choice Specs Heatran this round! No other restrictions apply, except that it is an OU team. As usual, the winner of this competition gets to choose the next theme. Submissions are open now, and will close on Saturday the 11th of October...

In a close round of voting, with an wide spread of votes cast between many participants, the winner of the teambuilding competition for Eeveelutions is Robertshortgrass! :Vaporeon: :Swampert: :Latias: :Heatran: :Rotom-Wash: :Scizor: From Robertshortgrass: https://pokepast.es/3f93eaae01752a4a...

The math was just: 0.9^6 > 0.5 0.9^7 < 0.5 0.99^68 > 0.5 0.99^69 < 0.5 0.7^1 > 0.5 0.7^2 < 0.5 0.77^2 > 0.5 0.77^3 < 0.5 That is, calculating how many attacks are required in a row before it becomes unlikely (i.e., less than a 50% chance) for them all to hit.

Not sure if I agree with the math here, but I agree with the sentiment. Its better to buff the accuracy of already accurate moves than it is to try and increase the accuracy of less accurate ones. The way I like to think of it is: 9/10 means that you need to attack 7 of more times before you...

So sorry! I've fixed it now.

Voting has begun for the teambuilding competition featuring Eeveelutions! This round is fiercely contested with seven entries vying for the top spot. The teams submitted were: :jolteon: :gyarados: :heatran: :scizor: :latias: :starmie: From Jhall99: https://pokepast.es/75aaa964cafbd217...

I'm entering my own competition with a fun team featuring Aqua Ring Pass Vaporeon. :zapdos: :donphan: :jirachi: :vaporeon: :clefable: :cresselia: The idea is to use basic paraspam Pokémon, and fit a way to pass aqua ring to various recipients. Cress is the best to pass to when facing stall...

Steve22 has chosen a new theme! This time, the theme involves the eevee evos! Submit any OU team which contains your favorite eeveelution. No other restrictions apply. The submission deadline of this competition is Saturday the 20th of August, at 11:00 pm GMT. As usual, the winner of this...

The votes are in; and the winner of the teambuilding competition for Azelf outside the lead slot is Steve22 in a close vote! :heatran: :azelf: :latias: :flygon: :suicune: :metagross: From steve22: https://pokepast.es/51dc80e9471c66da Since it is an even numbered competition, the next theme can...

The trouble with this approach is that once you start ignoring probabilities to calculate your answer, the answer you calculate wont be a probability anymore. It will be something else. To show you why, consider this. A player has a paralyzed latias, but over the course of 10 turns without...

I think your example is a good one to illustrate the difficulty. First of all, your labeling of the turns can cause some confusion since you call the events which occur on turn 1, turn 2, and turn 3 as 'Turns 1 through 4'. How will other users communicate when some people use 'Turns 1 through...

Voting has begun for the teambuilding competition featuring Azelf outside of the lead slot! The competition is fierce with these four formidable entries vying for the top spot. The teams submitted were: :dragonite: :azelf: :starmie: :Latias: :heatran: :scizor: From Jhall99...

It's a cool idea but it runs the risk of the probability being calculated incorrectly in some circumstances. Also, if you restrict it to these clear cut scenarios like the one you gave as an example, then you will miss a lot of low odd scenarios where people might feel they deserve the...

If you don't mind running a slower metagross, then zoom lens will grantee a hit with meteor mash against an opponent who uses a move first. Wide lens may be a better middle ground though since it still functions when they switch, and you don't have to be slower.